Goldman now prefers commodities, cash amid rising uncertainty By
2024-05-04 02:20:05
more 
1601

Analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note that they are shifting to Overweight commodities on a three-month and 12-month time horizon to diversify overheating and geopolitical risk. They are also shifting to Overweight cash on a three-month horizon to reduce portfolio risk.

The investment bank notes that the macro backdrop has turned "less friendly" since March due to higher inflation and upward pressure on rates. Still, their baseline remains friendly for the rest of the year.

"While our business cycle indicators still point to a late-cycle backdrop, those can last a long time, and equities can do well if there is no recession," says Goldman.

Furthermore, the investment bank believes commodity performance should be further supported by a late-cycle backdrop with moderate to low inventories, deficits and backwardation.

"We also recommend selected option overlays to reduce risk, including selling rates to buy equity vol, longer-dated collars and Dollar upside," they added.

On cash, analysts at Goldman Sachs said they continue to like the Dollar as a portfolio overlay to reduce US rate shock risk.

Goldman said: "While cash looks more attractive from both a return and risk perspective against a 'higher for longer' rates backdrop, with our macro baseline of continued inflation normalisation we would aim to be fully invested on 12m horizon."

Statement:
The content of this article does not represent the views of fxgecko website. The content is for reference only and does not constitute investment suggestions. Investment is risky, so you should be careful in your choice! If it involves content, copyright and other issues, please contact us and we will make adjustments at the first time!

Related News

您正在访问的是FxGecko网站。 FxGecko互联网及其移动端产品是中国香港特别行政区成立的Hitorank Co.,LIMITED旗下运营和管理的一款面向全球发行的企业资讯査询工具。

您的IP为 中国大陆地区,抱歉的通知您,不能为您提供查询服务,还请谅解。请遵守当地地法律。