European stocks edge lower in thin trading; German GDP fell in Q3 By
2023-11-24 18:20:10
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- European stock markets traded marginally lower Friday after weak German growth data, although trading volumes are limited with few overnight cues on account of a U.S. market holiday. 

At 03:05 ET (08:05 GMT), the in Germany traded largely unchanged, the in France traded down 0.1% and the in the U.K. fell 0.3%.

German economy shrank in third quarter

Data released earlier Friday showed that the shrank slightly in the third quarter compared with the previous three months, falling 0.1% on the quarter, confirming a first estimate, published in late October.

"After the weak economic development seen in the first half of 2023, the German economy began the second half of the year with a slight drop in performance," said Ruth Brand, president of the German statistics office.

Recent data has pointed to the possibility of a mild recession in the eurozone’s dominant economy by the end of this year, adding a degree of urgency to the debate over what the European Central Bank does next with its interest rates.

This snapped an unprecedented streak of 10 consecutive rate hikes at its October meeting, holding interest rates unchanged as the policy makers digested incoming economic data.

The European Central Bank must resist any temptation to cut interest rates early as the most difficult part of fighting off the recent inflation surge could still be ahead, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said on Thursday.

There’s little else due on the European data slate Friday, apart from the data for November, which could see a slight pickup in confidence from a low ebb.

Middle East truce

On a more positive note, Israel and Hamas are set to start a four-day truce today with the release of a first group of 13 Israeli women and child hostages expected later in the day.

set to cut many jobs - Reuters

In the corporate sector, activity is likely to be limited with a lot of focus on Black Friday sales in the U.S., as a guide for how the important holiday season proceeds for the country’s major retailers.

In Europe, a lot of focus will be on Barclays (LON:), after Reuters reported that the British bank is working on plans to save as much as £1 billion pounds (£1 = $1.0910), which could involve cutting as many as 2,000 jobs, mainly in its back office.

Crude awaits OPEC+ meeting

Oil prices traded in a mixed fashion Friday after the previous session's U.S. holiday, but remained on course for the first positive week in five ahead of next week’s OPEC+ meeting to discuss future output levels. 

By 03:05 ET, the futures traded 0.6% lower at $76.63 a barrel, while the contract climbed 0.3% to $81.62 a barrel. Both contracts were up around 1% for the week, gaining after an extended rout brought prices to near four-month lows.

Traders still expect the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, to agree to more supply cuts to boost prices.

The OPEC+ meeting was delayed to Nov. 30, having originally been scheduled for Sunday, prompting speculation of disagreements between member countries over planned production cuts.

Bigger gains for the week were also stymied by data showing a substantially bigger-than-expected increase in U.S. , with U.S. production remaining close to record highs. 

Additionally, rose 0.1% to $1,994.30/oz, while traded 0.1% higher at 1.0911.

 

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